Mueller Water Valuation

MWA Stock  USD 29.89  0.26  0.86%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Mueller Water Products secures a last-minute Real Value of $32.04 per share. The latest price of the firm is $29.89. Our model forecasts the value of Mueller Water Products from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.22, current valuation of 4.7 B, and Profit Margin of 0.14 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Mueller Water's valuation include:
Price Book
4.6277
Enterprise Value
4.7 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
14.2176
Price Sales
3.238
Forward PE
20.79
Undervalued
Today
29.89
Please note that Mueller Water's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Mueller Water Products is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Mueller Water's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Mueller Water is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Mueller Stock. However, Mueller Water's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  29.89 Real  32.04 Target  30.33 Hype  30.69 Naive  30.77
The real value of Mueller Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Mueller Water Products Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Mueller Water's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Mueller Water's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
32.04
Real Value
33.40
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Mueller Water Products helps investors to forecast how Mueller stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Mueller Water more accurately as focusing exclusively on Mueller Water's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.360.370.38
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.3330.6932.05
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.180.180.18
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
27.6030.3333.67
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Mueller Water's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Mueller Water's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Mueller Water's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Mueller Water we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Mueller Water Cash

521.04 Million

Mueller Revenue by Product

Mueller Water Total Value Analysis

Mueller Water Products is now anticipated to have company total value of 4.7 B with market capitalization of 4.67 B, debt of 451.6 M, and cash on hands of 431.5 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Mueller Water fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
4.7 B
4.67 B
451.6 M
431.5 M

Mueller Water Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Mueller Water was now reported as 6.51. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.39. Mueller Water Products last dividend was issued on the 10th of February 2026. Based on the analysis of Mueller Water's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Mueller Water Products is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.170.16
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities129.3 M252.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income314.7 M299.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Mueller Water Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Mueller Water has an asset utilization ratio of 77.75 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.78 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Mueller Water Products is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Mueller Water Profitability Analysis

Considering Mueller Water's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Mueller Water Products is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Mueller Water's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2004-12-31
Previous Quarter
52.6 M
Current Value
43.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
80.3 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, Mueller Water's Pretax Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Operating Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.17, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 363.8 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.220.33
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.170.16
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.170.16
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
For Mueller Water profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Mueller Water Products to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Mueller Water utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Mueller Water's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Mueller Water over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Mueller Water Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Mueller Water is estimated to be 0.3733 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.36 to a high of 0.38. Mueller Water's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.27. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Mueller Water Products is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Mueller Water is projected to generate 0.3733 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Mueller Water earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Mueller Water EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Mueller Water's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Mueller Water, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Mueller Water Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Mueller Water's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Mueller Water is estimated to be 0.3733 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.36 to a high of 0.38. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Mueller Water Products is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.29
0.36
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.3733
0.38
Highest

Mueller Water Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Mueller Water's value are higher than the current market price of the Mueller Water stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Mueller Water is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Mueller Water's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
679.84%
0.29
0.3733
1.27

Mueller Water Ownership Allocation

The majority of Mueller Water outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Mueller Water Products to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Mueller Water Products. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Mueller Water as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Mueller Water Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.43 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 191.7 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 534.3 M.

Mueller Water Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Mueller Water's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Mueller Water and how it compares across the competition.

About Mueller Water Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Mueller Water's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Mueller Water. We calculate exposure to Mueller Water's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Mueller Water's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit594.2 M363.8 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Operating Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Net Profit Margin 0.12  0.13 
Gross Profit Margin 0.33  0.22 
Mueller Water's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Mueller Water's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Mueller Water can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Mueller Water represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Mueller, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Mueller Water Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividends Paid is expected to grow to about (35.8 M). In addition to that, Dividend Yield is expected to decline to 0.01. At present, Mueller Water's Earnings Yield is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 36.17, whereas Retained Earnings are forecasted to decline to (210.3 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-37.7 M-35.8 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.25  0.24 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 2.21  1.27 
There are various types of dividends Mueller Water can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Mueller shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Mueller Water Products directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Mueller pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Mueller Water by the value of the dividends paid out.

Mueller Water Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding157.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.227
Forward Price Earnings20.79

Mueller Water Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Mueller Water Products and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Mueller we look at many different elements of the entity such as Mueller's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Mueller Water, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Mueller Water's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Mueller Water's worth.

Complementary Tools for Mueller Stock analysis

When running Mueller Water's price analysis, check to measure Mueller Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mueller Water is operating at the current time. Most of Mueller Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mueller Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mueller Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mueller Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing